Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for JULIA-22
in Nicaragua

Impact

Tropical Cyclone JULIA-22 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Exposed countries Nicaragua
Exposed population 520 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 139 km/h
Maximum storm surge 1 m (09 Oct 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability Medium (Nicaragua)
Landfall between
09 Oct 2022 12:00 - 10 Oct 2022 00:00

in Nicaragua

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 139 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 139 km/h 1.0 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to 200000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 06 Oct 2022 15:00 83 17.9 million No people Colombia, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala, Mexico
Orange 2 06 Oct 2022 21:00 139 15.2 million No people Venezuela, Colombia, Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador, Guatemala
Orange 3 07 Oct 2022 03:00 139 12.3 million 200 thousand Nicaragua, Honduras

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 06 Oct 2022 15:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 11.4, -67
GREEN
2 06 Oct 2022 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 380000 people 11.6, -68.7
GREEN
3 07 Oct 2022 03:00 Tropical depression 56 no people 73000 people 11.9, -69.8 Venezuela
GREEN
3 07 Oct 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 59000 people 12.4, -72 Colombia
GREEN
3 08 Oct 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people 13, -75
GREEN
3 08 Oct 2022 12:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 82000 people 13.2, -78
GREEN
3 09 Oct 2022 00:00 Category 1 120 5300 people 800000 people 13.2, -80.7
ORANGE
3 09 Oct 2022 12:00 Category 1 139 200000 people 2.7 million people 13.3, -83.1
ORANGE
3 10 Oct 2022 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 11.6 million people 13.9, -85.4 Nicaragua
GREEN
3 11 Oct 2022 00:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15.5, -90 Guatemala
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Nicaragua 200000 people
Honduras no people

Provinces

Region Province Country Population in Tropical Storm or higher strength
Zelaya Nicaragua 180000 people
Jinotega Nicaragua 21000 people
El Paraiso Honduras no people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Providencia PVA 6 Civ. Paved No 4500
Siuna SIU unknown 0
Rosita RFS 63 0
Bonanza San Pedro BZA unknown 0
Siuna 146 0

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Bahia Catalina Colombia
Providencia Island Colombia
Puerto Isabel Nicaragua

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

1 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  1.0m in Coco Haulover, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 09 Oct 2022 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (211 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 3 of 07 Oct 2022 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  1.0
09 Oct 2022 14:00 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.9
09 Oct 2022 14:00 Wounta Nicaragua  0.9
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.9
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.8
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.8
09 Oct 2022 14:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.8
09 Oct 2022 16:00 Karata Nicaragua  0.8
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.8
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Crucira Nicaragua  0.8
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  0.8
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  0.8
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Graytown Nicaragua  0.8
09 Oct 2022 14:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.8
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Awastara Nicaragua  0.6
09 Oct 2022 14:00 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.5
09 Oct 2022 16:00 Raya Honduras  0.5
09 Oct 2022 16:00 Clubki Honduras  0.5
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.5
09 Oct 2022 19:00 Uhi Honduras  0.5
09 Oct 2022 17:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.4
09 Oct 2022 18:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.4
09 Oct 2022 16:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.4
10 Oct 2022 08:00 Petacaltepe Nicaragua  0.3
09 Oct 2022 16:00 Kanko Honduras  0.3
10 Oct 2022 06:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.3
10 Oct 2022 06:00 Venecia Nicaragua  0.3
10 Oct 2022 06:00 Jiquilillo Nicaragua  0.3
10 Oct 2022 06:00 Cedeno Honduras  0.3
10 Oct 2022 06:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.3
10 Oct 2022 06:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.3
10 Oct 2022 08:00 Barrancones Honduras  0.3
09 Oct 2022 03:00 Aguadulce Colombia  0.3
09 Oct 2022 03:00 Morris Hill Colombia  0.3
09 Oct 2022 03:00 Franshua Colombia  0.3
10 Oct 2022 20:00 Cattle Landing Belize  0.2
10 Oct 2022 19:00 Baranca Belize  0.2
10 Oct 2022 18:00 San Juan Guatemala  0.2
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Canco Honduras  0.2
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.2
09 Oct 2022 17:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.2
09 Oct 2022 17:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.2
10 Oct 2022 18:00 Cocoli Guatemala  0.2
10 Oct 2022 17:00 Livingston Guatemala  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 El Aceituno Venezuela  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Altagracia Venezuela  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Las Playitas Venezuela  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Punto Miranda Venezuela  0.2
07 Oct 2022 08:00 Guaguri Colombia  0.2
07 Oct 2022 09:00 Puerto Estrella Colombia  0.2
09 Oct 2022 16:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.2
09 Oct 2022 16:00 Kaski Honduras  0.2
09 Oct 2022 22:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.2
10 Oct 2022 11:00 El Carmen Nicaragua  0.2
10 Oct 2022 09:00 Condega Honduras  0.2
10 Oct 2022 11:00 Gualora Honduras  0.2
07 Oct 2022 09:00 Chichibacoa Colombia  0.2
09 Oct 2022 16:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.2
09 Oct 2022 16:00 Dapat Honduras  0.2
07 Oct 2022 08:00 Punta Espada Colombia  0.2
07 Oct 2022 09:00 Puerto Chimare Colombia  0.2
09 Oct 2022 15:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Haticos del Sur Venezuela  0.2
08 Oct 2022 02:00 El Cucharal Venezuela  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Jaguecito Venezuela  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 El Canito Venezuela  0.2
07 Oct 2022 08:00 Karasua Colombia  0.2
07 Oct 2022 08:00 Puerto Ingles Colombia  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Punta Igauna Venezuela  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.2
09 Oct 2022 19:00 Set Net Nicaragua  0.2
09 Oct 2022 22:00 Macho Creek Guatemala  0.2
09 Oct 2022 22:00 Puerto Barrios Guatemala  0.2
09 Oct 2022 22:00 Corozo Guatemala  0.2
09 Oct 2022 22:00 Barra del Motagua Guatemala  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Punta de Leiva Venezuela  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Santa Rita Venezuela  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 El Guere Venezuela  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Cabimas Venezuela  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 El Mene Venezuela  0.2
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Las Mucuras Venezuela  0.2
09 Oct 2022 17:00 Claura Honduras  0.2
09 Oct 2022 12:00 Barra de Rio Grande Nicaragua  0.2
10 Oct 2022 18:00 Buena Vista Guatemala  0.2
09 Oct 2022 22:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.2
10 Oct 2022 19:00 New Haven Belize  0.2
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Stann Creek Town Belize  0.2
09 Oct 2022 23:00 Boca Chica Panama  0.2
07 Oct 2022 11:00 San Jose Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 11:00 Bahia Hondita Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 11:00 Inosu Colombia  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 El Bebedero Venezuela  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Barrancas Venezuela  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 La Vaca Venezuela  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 El Porvenir Venezuela  0.1
09 Oct 2022 18:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Jurulapa Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Uluimana Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 13:00 El Cabo Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 13:00 Amaiquiro Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 11:00 Kaurimahana Colombia  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 El Bajo Venezuela  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Bajo Grande Venezuela  0.1
09 Oct 2022 12:00 Sandy Bay Sirpi Nicaragua  0.1
10 Oct 2022 17:00 Punta Manabique Guatemala  0.1
09 Oct 2022 23:00 Cambalache Guatemala  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 La Concepcion Venezuela  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Vaca Monte Panama  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Vera Cruz Panama  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Fuerte Kobbe Panama  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Jasav Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Gualipana Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Cojoro Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 10:00 Maasichi Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 12:00 Carrizal Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 11:00 Huauariuaha Colombia  0.1
09 Oct 2022 19:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
09 Oct 2022 19:00 Huarta Honduras  0.1
09 Oct 2022 19:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Guasapatu Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 Hato Abajo Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 El Rosario Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 Conejal Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 Guadalajara Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 La California Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 Guaimu Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 06:00 Orejitas Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 06:00 Macama Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 06:00 La Boca Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 06:00 Las Cruces Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 06:00 Matacan Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 06:00 Cayude Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 13:00 Araurio Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 13:00 Puerto Aramatka Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 13:00 Santa Rosa Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 12:00 Cardon Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 12:00 Kosinamahana Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 11:00 Pichuasahi Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 10:00 Caserio Taroa Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 11:00 Junain Colombia  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Pedregalito Venezuela  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 San Antonio Venezuela  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 La Pica Roja Venezuela  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Agua Clara Venezuela  0.1
09 Oct 2022 20:00 Baltimore Honduras  0.1
10 Oct 2022 16:00 San Francisco del Mar Guatemala  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Mullins Belize  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Freetown Area Belize  0.1
07 Oct 2022 13:00 Huattapo Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Potchoure Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Zarrupiai Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Cuzi Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Morchipa Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Parsua Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 13:00 Pirpir Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 13:00 Mayapo Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 13:00 Arbol del Descanso Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 13:00 Urachikarein Colombia  0.1
09 Oct 2022 23:00 Damas Costa Rica  0.1
09 Oct 2022 23:00 Rios Costa Rica  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Taboga Panama  0.1
09 Oct 2022 20:00 Tasbarraya Honduras  0.1
10 Oct 2022 21:00 Conchaguita El Salvador  0.1
10 Oct 2022 20:00 Monkey River Belize  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 Los Taques Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 Adaro Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 06:00 El Cardon Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 06:00 Punta Cardon Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 Punto Fijo Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 La Macolla Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 Las Piedras Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 Guanadito Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 06:00 Tiguajada Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 06:00 Caujarito Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 El Vaquero Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 San Lorenzo Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 05:00 El Imujo Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 12:00 Iturumahana Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 12:00 Mausahu Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 12:00 Jojoromahana Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 12:00 Auyama Colombia  0.1
08 Oct 2022 01:00 Punta Gordo Venezuela  0.1
09 Oct 2022 11:00 Corn Island Nicaragua  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Saboga Panama  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Boca de Torin Panama  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Chinina Panama  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Chiman Panama  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Boca de Pacora Panama  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Rio Chico Panama  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Chepillo Panama  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Sabaneta Panama  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Palo Grande Panama  0.1
09 Oct 2022 19:00 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 El Sitio Panama  0.1
10 Oct 2022 00:00 Ciudad Radial Panama  0.1
09 Oct 2022 12:00 Tasbapauni Nicaragua  0.1
10 Oct 2022 09:00 Las Pozas Nicaragua  0.1
07 Oct 2022 07:00 Caduto Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 07:00 Guasare Abajo Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 06:00 Ocorote Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 06:00 Rio Seco Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Guichep Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 21:00 Palachuou Venezuela  0.1
07 Oct 2022 13:00 El Pajaro Colombia  0.1
07 Oct 2022 13:00 Shichepeho Colombia  0.1
09 Oct 2022 23:00 Julieta Costa Rica  0.1
09 Oct 2022 23:00 Pueblo Nuevo Costa Rica  0.1
09 Oct 2022 23:00 Parrita Costa Rica  0.1
10 Oct 2022 06:00 El Porvenir Honduras  0.1
10 Oct 2022 06:00 La Ceiba Honduras  0.1